Weekly Update 10 October 2022
In the current circumstances, cash looks like a pretty good investment.
Weekly Update 10 October 2022 Read More »
In the current circumstances, cash looks like a pretty good investment.
Weekly Update 10 October 2022 Read More »
Our intuition is that there is a 75% chance that the markets rally into the year end because of current oversold conditions.
Weekly Update 3 October 2022 Read More »
We do not believe this bear market is over and target 3000 for the S&P 500.
Weekly Update 26 September 2022 Read More »
Because inflation has proved persistent, there is a chance interest rates will have to move to the 5-6% range.
Weekly Update 19 September 2022 Read More »
Stocks rose last week due to oversold conditions being reversed and Ukraine making progress in its war against Russia.
Weekly Update 12 September 2022 Read More »
Stocks should fall 30% from here to reach fair value, according to a GMO model.
Weekly Update 5 September 2022 Read More »
We continue to hold a bearish view on stocks and keep the majority of the portfolio in cash.
Weekly Update 29 August 2022 Read More »
Stocks fell 1% last week as the rally that had started two months ago showed signs of exhaustion.
Weekly Update 22 August 2022 Read More »
The inflation problem is far from being solved.
Weekly Update 15 August 2022 Read More »
Stocks rose slightly last week despite the Federal Reserve sending a message that it is “nowhere near” done with its fight against inflation. www.ft.com/content/010544f6-95ba-4d42-8c99-4556b1590816 The reason for the Fed’s hawkish message is that although commodity prices have fallen, wage inflation continues to run hot. www.atlantafed.org/chcs/wage-growth-tracker The supply of workers has been reduced as a result
Weekly Update 8 August 2022 Read More »